Monday, 21 March 2011

New poll from BHA - over 50% are Christian, but only half of them believe in a resurrected Christ

Surprisingly interesting stuff from the British Humanist Association, provided you strip away the nonsense from the press release.

The BHA commissioned a YouGov poll asking just four questions, with the aim of showing that people aren't religious, even if they say they are in the census.  The first question is the same as the census question on religion, so we can expect the census results to be similar to this poll, in which 53% described themselves as Christian and 7% from other religions.  39% said they have no religion.

The next question was, "Are you religious".  Mouse will ignore this question, as it is laughably loaded.  Whenever Mouse posts on this topic, the comments fill up with people saying that they are committed Christians, but would not want to call themselves "religious".  Some often wonder whether Jesus would have called himself "religious", with the implication that he probably wouldn't.  Still, you'll see if you click the link that 65% said they are not religious, 29% said they are and the rest don't know.

The third question was most interesting for Mouse.  It asked those who said they are Christians, "Do you believe that Jesus Christ was a real person who  died and came back to life, and was the son of God?".  In response 48% said they do believe this, 25% don't know and 27% do not believe it.

The final question was about attendance at a place of worship. The full results were:


Within the last week 9%
Within the last month 6%
Within the last 6 months 10%
Within the last year 6%
Over a year ago 43%
Never 20%
Don't know 6%

So what do we learn?

Well firstly, Mouse would point out this is a very limited set of questions to draw any conclusions.  The early view on the question used in the census gives us a heads up on the likely result, which if this is accurate will show a significant dip on those describing themselves as Christian, from 71% in 2001.

It is interesting that the BHA have acknowledged Mouse's criticism of their past discussion on this, and accepted that we need to look at religious belief, practice and identity to get an understanding of religion in Britain, however, asking one question for each is a rather low budget attempt at assessing them.

Mouse does find the fact that half of Christians don't seem to accept the resurrection of Christ as interesting.  Since this is rather a foundational concept for Christianity, we need to unpack this more.  Mouse suspects the BHA went for this issue rather than, "Do you believe in a God" or even "Do you believe Jesus was the son of God", as they guessed it would get a lower result, as it is a more complex and challenging topic.

In terms of religious practice, attending a place of worship is a rather limited view of that.  It would have been more helpful to ask about prayer and Bible reading as well, which we know from other surveys have much higher levels of participation.  Church has a lot of baggage for many people, and we don't learn much from the BHA sponsored survey by asking about religious attendance.

However, we do learn something.  Church attendance statistics just count the people, and don't tell us whether it is the same people attending each week, or whether it is four times the number of people attending once per month.  This breakdown, which actually mirrors closely previous surveys, does show us that there are a lot of people who attend church infrequently.  Mouse reckons this is a positive sign, as it shows that higher numbers of people engage with Church in some way than the weekly or monthly attendance statistics show.

So half a cheer for the BHA?  Well, I don't for a moment believe that this "new" evidence shows the census question is flawed, as the BHA maintain, but at least it provides something interesting and up-to-date to discuss.

9 comments:

  1. The third question is indeed interesting and would no doubt show very different levels of positive response if the individual components were asked separately. Just goes to show how important the framing of a question is in generating the desired response! I am curious that they chose to present the resurrection in terms that most theologians would consider exceptionally crude - 'died and came back to life' - as it suggests resuscitation rather than resurrection. I wonder if many Christians who would be happy to affirm faith in the resurrection would instinctively find this formulation uncomfortable?
    My other question about this survey is whether it was introduced to the participants as being conducted on behalf of the BHA. This would, I suspect, have some degree of influence on the respondents.

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  2. The problem is, why do these 'infrequents' (apologies for the clumsy word) attend church? If it is for Easter Day Communion, that's one thing. However, it seems reasonable to guess that a large proportion of them attend weddings of friends/family, or a funeral. In which case, the opportunities for evangelism among this group are obviously going to be limited.

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  3. I am not at all surprised at the response to the third question, which is really 4 questions in 1: do you believe Jesus was a real person? do you believe he died? Do yo believe he came back to life? (what does that mean? spiritual life? physical life? eternal life?); do you believe Jesus was the Son of God ( what does that mean? when did he become Son of God? before time? conception? baptism? resurrection? ascension?) No-one properly trained in framing survey questions would have allowed that one through, since if you were doubtful about any one of the 4 you would answer 'no'.

    People who attend church nowadays as well as people who call themselves Christian are far less likely to accept all the tenets of the creeds without question. A priest I knew told me her group at theological college discussed the Creed and the only thing they all agreed on was "I believe inGod!"

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  4. I actually think the wording for Q3 is very useful. Whilst breaking it down into it's component parts would have been an interesting bit of theological research, as an indicator of genuine Christian conviction I think it's very useful. It's almost a summary creed.

    (In determining genuine Christian conviction, Barna Research ask their respondents if they have "...a personal commitment to Jesus Christ that is still important in their life today" and who also indicated they believe that when they die they will go to Heaven because they had confessed their sins and had accepted Jesus Christ as their savior")

    It is completely remarkable that 25% of the sample accede to such a strong creedal statement. If I were in the BHA I don't think I'd be taking much comfort from this.

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  5. doctorhuw - should have said that this question specifically asked to exclude family events like weddings, baptisms and asked only about when you last attended for religious reasons.

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  6. Rebel Saint - I agree. The press release on this seems to have missed the major aspects entirely. I don't think this provides the BHA with any comfort whatsoever.

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  7. http://www.humanism.org.uk/ceremonies

    Having just looked at the BHA website, I challenge the BHA to say they are not religious. The website indicates a heavy load of religious style behaviour, ceremonies etc. Just because God isn't involved for the BHA does not mean they are not behaving in a religious way. They would surely not deny that those following atheist religions such as budhism are "religious". Amusing all the same!

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  8. Not sure what I think about a 'place' of worship. WHat about people who meet with other Christians for prayer, fellowship, discussing Jesus and how the Bible applies to their lives. But meet in places like their own homes or hired venues?

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  9. I'm not sure if the cats and mice are better at statistics than bingo or doing the PowerPoint presentation. No one seems to have mentioned 'The Kendal Project'. No doubt you know some of the people at Lancaster who were involved. This is a reference to it, http://www.lancs.ac.uk/fss/projects/ieppp/kendal/ - though from memory it got extrapolated beyond belief. Extrapolation by some divines can go over the top resulting in more than 39 articles, but who counts these days?

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Thank you for your comments.